ECAC Playoff Possibilities

Possibilities courtesy Bill Fenwick; formatting © 2004, Joe Schlobotnik (archives),

URL for this frameset: http://www.elynah.com/tbrw/tbrw.cgi?2004/ecacposs.040227.shtml

See also

Colgate (28 Points)

This Weekend
Clarkson, St. Lawrence
On Their Own
Two points will wrap up first place
Best Case
First
Worst Case
Drops to third if they lose twice, Cornell sweeps, and either Dartmouth sweeps or Brown gets at least three points
Tiebreakers
Beats Brown, Dartmouth, and Cornell

Brown (26 Points)

This Weekend
Dartmouth, Vermont
On Their Own
Clinches second by beating Vermont and getting at least a tie against Dartmouth
Best Case
Would finish first with a sweep if Colgate gets no more than one point
Worst Case
Falls to fifth if they lose twice, Cornell gets at least two points, and RPI sweeps
Tiebreakers
Beats Cornell; loses to Colgate and Dartmouth; could win or lose against RPI

Dartmouth (25 Points)

This Weekend
At Brown, at Harvard
On Their Own
A sweep gives Dartmouth second place
Best Case
Clinches first with a sweep if Colgate loses twice
Worst Case
Would finish fifth if they get swept, Cornell does not, and RPI gets at least three points
Tiebreakers
Beats Brown, Cornell, and RPI; loses to Colgate

Cornell (25 Points)

This Weekend
St. Lawrence, Clarkson
On Their Own
Two wins would guarantee third place
Best Case
Finishes first with a sweep if Colgate loses twice, Dartmouth does not sweep, and Brown gets no more than two points
Worst Case
Would fall to fifth if they lose twice and RPI gets at least three points
Tiebreakers
Loses to Colgate, Brown, and Dartmouth; could win or lose against RPI

RPI (23 Points)

This Weekend
At Princeton, at Yale
On Their Own
Clinches fifth by beating Princeton or at least tying Yale
Best Case
Would finish third with a pair of wins if Dartmouth gets no more than one point and Cornell gets no more than two
Worst Case
Drops to seventh if they lose twice, Yale gets at least a tie against Union, and Harvard gets at least three points
Tiebreakers
Loses to Dartmouth and Yale; could win or lose against Brown, Cornell, and Harvard

Harvard (20 Points)

This Weekend
Vermont, Dartmouth
On Their Own
Wraps up sixth with two wins
Best Case
Would finish fifth with a sweep if RPI loses twice, or if RPI ties Princeton and Yale sweeps (this would set up a three-way tie for fifth among Harvard, Yale, and RPI, with Harvard getting the highest seed)
Worst Case
Finishes ninth if they lose twice, Yale beats RPI, and St. Lawrence and Clarkson both sweep. (If RPI were to beat Princeton in this scenario, the tie between Harvard and Clarkson would require the ECAC's infinite-loop fix!)
tiebreakers
Beats Yale and St. Lawrence; could win or lose against RPI and Clarkson

Yale (20 Points)

This Weekend
Union, RPI
On Their Own
One point will give the Elis seventh place
Best Case
Clinches fifth with two wins if RPI does not beat Princeton and Harvard does not sweep
Worst Case
Falls to eighth if they lose twice and St. Lawrence sweeps
Tiebreakers
Beats RPI, St. Lawrence, and Clarkson; loses to Harvard

St. Lawrence (17 Points)

This Weekend
At Cornell, at Colgate
On Their Own
Clinches eighth with three points
Best Case
Gets sixth with a sweep if Harvard and Yale both lose twice
Worst Case
Would finish eleventh if they lose twice, Vermont and Union sweep, Clarkson gets exactly two points, and RPI does not finish in the top four
Tiebreakers
Beats Clarkson; loses to Harvard, Yale, and Union; could win or lose against Vermont

Clarkson (16 Points)

This Weekend
At Colgate, at Cornell
On Their Own
A sweep guarantees ninth place
Best Case
Finishes seventh with a sweep if Harvard loses twice, St. Lawrence gets no more than two points, and RPI does not finish in the top four
Worst Case
Would fall to eleventh if they get swept, Union gets at least one point, and Vermont wins twice
Tiebreakers
Beats Princeton; loses to Yale and St. Lawrence; could win or lose against Harvard, Union, and Vermont

Union (15 Points)

This Weekend
At Yale, at Princeton
On Their Own
Clinches tenth with three points
Best Case
Would finish eighth with a sweep if Clarkson and St. Lawrence each get no more than two points
Worst Case
Drops to twelfth with two losses if Princeton gets at least a tie against RPI and Vermont gets at least three points
Tiebreakers
Beats St. Lawrence; loses to Princeton; could win or lose against Clarkson and Vermont

Vermont (13 Points)

This Weekend
At Harvard, at Brown
On Their Own
Four points would give the Catamounts eleventh place
Best Case
Clinches ninth with a sweep if St. Lawrence loses twice, Clarkson gets no more than one point, and Union gets no more than two points
Worst Case
Finishes twelfth if Princeton gets at least two more points than they do
Tiebreakers
Could win or lose against St. Lawrence, Clarkson, Union, and Princeton

Princeton (12 Points)

This Weekend
RPI, Union
On Their Own
Can do no better than twelfth without help
Best Case
Finishes tenth with a sweep if Union does not beat Yale and Vermont gets no more than two points
Worst Case
Twelfth
Tiebreakers
Beats Union; loses to Clarkson; could win or lose against Vermont

Last Modified: 2019 July 24

Joe Schlobotnik / joe@amurgsval.org

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